Conservative Move · Relocation Trends

The Conservative Migration Report.

Where Americans are leaving — and where they want to go — when they decide to relocate to a more conservative state. Based on five years of real relocation inquiries.

Leaving
CA & WA
Landing in
TX & the South

Among those who tell us where they’re leaving from, nearly half are coming out of just two states.

~47%
Leaving from just two states: California & Washington
#1
Texas — the most-wanted destination, named by ~1 in 3
2,700+
Relocation inquiries analyzed, 2021–2026
Blue→Red
Top origins lean blue; top destinations lean red
The Two Poles

A clean blue-to-red migration

The map of conservative migration has two clear poles. People are leaving the high-cost, deep-blue coasts — led overwhelmingly by California and Washington — and they want to land in Texas, the South, and the Mountain West. Among those who tell us where they’re leaving from, nearly half are coming out of just two states.

Origins

Top 15 states people are leaving

Blue / Democratic-leaningRed / Republican-leaningSwing
#State (leaving from)LeanShare of inquiriesShare
1CaliforniaBlue28%
2WashingtonBlue19%
3New YorkBlue6%
4TexasRed5%
5FloridaRed3%
6IllinoisBlue3%
7OregonBlue2%
8ColoradoBlue2%
9ArizonaSwing2%
10New JerseyBlue2%
11PennsylvaniaSwing2%
12VirginiaBlue2%
13MarylandBlue1%
14OhioRed1%
15MassachusettsBlue1%

California and Washington are in a class of their own — together they account for nearly half of all inquiries that list a home state. The rest of the top of the list — New York, Illinois, Oregon, Colorado, New Jersey, Maryland, Massachusetts — reads like a roster of the nation’s highest-tax, highest-cost blue states. (Texas and Florida appear because some moves are within red states — households leaving expensive metros for more affordable, like-minded communities.)

Destinations

Top 15 states they want to move to

Red / Republican-leaningRecent swing state
#State (moving to)LeanShare of inquiriesShare
1TexasRed34%
2TennesseeRed23%
3IdahoRed19%
4FloridaRed18%
5South CarolinaRed12%
6WyomingRed10%
7North CarolinaRed9%
8ArizonaSwing8%
9MontanaRed8%
10UtahRed6%
11ArkansasRed5%
12OklahomaRed5%
13South DakotaRed5%
14GeorgiaSwing4%
15NevadaSwing4%
The Big Picture

Out of the coasts, into the heartland

It’s a clean blue-to-red migration. The states people most want to leave lean decisively blue, while the destinations are overwhelmingly red — 12 of the top 15 are solidly Republican, with only Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada (recent swing states) in the mix. The pull runs from the high-cost coasts toward Texas, the South, and a surging Mountain West — where Idaho, Wyoming, Montana, Utah, and South Dakota all rank among the most-requested landing spots.

“People aren’t just fleeing high-cost blue states — they know exactly where they’re headed. The demand runs straight out of California and Washington and into Texas, the South, and the Mountain West.”

Methodology: what this data is and isn’t

“Leaving from” figures are based on the home state provided by more than 2,700 prospective movers who contacted Conservative Move between 2021 and 2026; shares are the percentage of those who provided a home state. “Moving to” figures are based on a survey of more than 1,700 prospective movers who named one or more desired destination states; because respondents may select multiple states, those shares do not sum to 100%. All figures reflect stated intent among a self-selected audience actively seeking a conservative relocation, and are not a representative sample of all U.S. movers.

Media contact: Brenda Chabot · [email protected]. Interviews with founder Paul Chabot booked through Brenda. Figures may be cited with attribution to Conservative Move.
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